exercises for Wed Sep 15_篮球即时比分_nba比分直播-彩客网重点推荐

nils
2021-09-09T15:22:16.424Z
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www.uio.no

1. On Wed Sep 8 we did Nils Exercise 12 and the book's 2.9, 2.10, with various related comments and extensions. I've uploaded R scripts com25b, street cars of San Francisco, and com27a, alarm or no alarm. Play with the code, tweak parameters, etc., to learn more. In particular, you should *invent your own prior* for the street cars exercise, to see how that affects the results.

2. We also discussed material from Ch 2, with more on binomial-beta and normal-normal setups. Next week we round off Ch 2 and start on Ch 3.

3. Exercises for Wed Sep 15:

(i) Go back to Nils Exercise 1, where I gave 10 data points for a Poisson. Find the distribution of the not-yet-seen data point 11. Give a 90 percent credibility interval for that data point.

(ii) A modern reader of Bayes's original publication can ask and check some follow-up points. Here's one. Imagine 10^4 people getting their 10^4 coins from the local coin factor...